Product

Waze Cargo: port congestion forecasting for Chile

A subscription for importers, exporters and freight forwarders. Waze Cargo forecasts how congested each Chilean port will be, month by month for the next twelve months, and tells you which port to use for each commodity.

customs records of imports and exports. Each one carries an HS code, so the forecast splits by commodity.
20M
ports, imports and exports, forecast month by month for the next 12 months.
23
accuracy in 2026 so far. We checked the forecast against the real shipments from January to May.
91.5%
accuracy at San Antonio, which handles 57% of Chile’s maritime imports. The busier the port, the better the forecast.
96.6%

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The problem

The usual port is often the wrong one

A ship that waits outside a congested port costs money every day, and in Chile the swell can close a port for hours at a time.

San Antonio handles 57% of the country’s maritime imports and is often the busiest, which is exactly why another port is so often the better choice. Without a forecast, shippers choose from habit.

What it does

A year ahead, port by port, commodity by commodity

Monthly forecast

Each port’s load for the next 12 months, for imports and exports, learned from about twenty million customs records.

By commodity

Every record carries an HS code, so the forecast splits by the commodity you actually move.

Swell closure risk

The hours each port is shut by swell, month by month, laid over the forecast.

The better port

It scores every port for your commodity and says when another one is the better route.

The Delay Risk Map

Import view, combined layer · 23 ports ranked

Waze Cargo: the national view. A map of Chile with the ports plotted and coloured by delay risk, beside a panel ranking 23 ports by weather-adjusted congestion, San Antonio highest at 78 per cent and Coquimbo lowest.

Every port at its real position, coloured by its predicted congestion. San Antonio handles 57% of the country’s maritime imports and runs hottest, which is why the answer is so often a different port.

A port’s year ahead

Valparaíso, imports · congestion forecast, 2026

Waze Cargo: Valparaíso selected. A monthly congestion forecast for 2026 against the port's own historical range, quietest in April at 21 per cent and busiest in July at 55 per cent, with the commodities that drive its traffic listed below.

Load forecast month by month against the port’s own record, so a planner can see the quiet months and the peak before booking.

Weather, by the month

San Antonio · vehicles and parts · weather layer

Waze Cargo: a single port. San Antonio selected, its weather risk broken down month by month with hours closed and the driving swell, and below it the twelve-month congestion forecast for vehicles and parts against shipment volume.

Hours the port is shut by swell, each month of a typical year, laid over the forecast for one commodity, which is the question an importer actually has.

Exports, and a better option

Arica · oil seeds · combined view

Waze Cargo: the export view. Arica selected for oil seeds, with its seasonal weather risk and a monthly forecast of shipments and congestion, and a note that San Antonio ranks first for this commodity at 48 per cent congestion.

For exporters too: it scores every port for the chosen commodity and says when another one is the better route.

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Results

Checked against real shipments

We checked the forecast against the real shipments from January to May 2026, data the model never saw: 91.5% accuracy overall, and 96.6% at San Antonio. The busier the port, the better the forecast.

Who it is for

Built for the people who choose the port

Importers

Choose the port and the month with the least congestion for what you bring in.

Exporters

See when your usual port will be at its peak, and which port ranks first for your commodity.

Freight forwarders

Plan routes for many clients and commodities from one view of all 23 ports.

Technology

What it is built with

Built with
  • Python
  • SQL
  • pandas
  • NumPy
  • scikit-learn
  • LightGBM
  • PostgreSQL
  • AWS
  • GitHub Actions
  • React
  • Leaflet
  • Recharts
  • Tableau
Get in touch

See Waze Cargo with your own routes

Tell us what you import or export and through which ports, and we will show you the forecast for your commodities.